Monday 30 May 2016

Transforming India Modi "Ishtyle" - First 2 years

"If hard work is your weapon
Success will be your slave"

Narendra Modi Govt completed its 2 years in office 3 days back. Two gone, three more years to go. It had been a tumultuous year all over the world and India was no exception. Much has already been said or written elsewhere about Govt's performance or non-performance during last 2 years. There will be divergence of views on the efficacy of Govt's functioning but Modi as its leader comes out with flying colours for his sustained work and sheer tenacity to achieve his dream of a better India. Not a speck of doubt on that.


Reforms: His vision encompasses both plausible initiatives like JAN DHAN and difficult ones like SWACHH BHARAT. But the centre of his governance is the ubiquitous common man  and towards this end, his Govt has passed many important bills in the Parliament like Real Estate regulation, Insolvency and Bankruptcy, Aadhar and carried out several impactful economic reforms including decontrol of diesel prices, liberalizing FDI rules, forming Bank Boards Bureau and improving ease of doing business   For statistics  aficionado - 21.81 crores new bank accounts with Rs. 37,616 crores deposit under Jan Dhan, 3.39 crore self-employed granted loans amounting to 1.41 lakh crore under Mudra Yojna, Ujjwala scheme of free LPG for poor likely to benefit 5 crore families by 2019 and introduction of DBT( Direct Benefit Transfer) plugging the leakages and saving nearly Rs. 15,000 crore and with potential to save Rs. 70,000 crore per year.  Newly launched schemes like Crop insurance, NAM (National Agriculture Market) and Soil Health Card aim at welfare and financial security of farmers and development of Agriculture in India. Modi Govt also fulfilled its promise of granting OROP (One Rank One Pension) to retired defence personnel which had been hanging fire since 1973. This will benefit 32 lakh ex-servicemen and widows. In short, Modi has planted these fruit-bearing economic trees to transform the lives of millions of poor, needy and vulnerable sections of society. When time comes, these may well transform into vote-yielding trees. However, all the excellent work pertaining to development and economic growth will be negated if there is no check on population growth. Our demographic dividend may become demographic disaster.


Domestic politics: From Oct, 2015 onward there was never a dull moment on domestic political front. Be it Intolerance debate, Award wapsi episode, disturbances in Hyderabad and JNU campuses, the main opposition and leftist parties kept the pot boiling for several months and some media channels chose to play ball with them. Party's own loudmouths did their best to discomfit the Govt by their inane, insensitive and provocative utterances. Modi Govt had to work hard to restore normalcy. Manufactured or not, these salvos were certainly well-calibrated and one of the causes of BJP's defeat in Bihar. By scoring a historic victory in Assam and improving its votes share in Kerala, BJP has shown that it may have learnt its lesson from Bihar and Delhi debacles. Party President Amit Shah gets a much-needed shot in the arm ahead of 2017 elections in UP but much remains to be done by Modi Govt in coming months.


Corruption: During last 2 years high level corruption has almost disappeared and there have been no big-ticket scams or cases of crony-capitalism. Progress on Black money is steady but slow and it is a depressing situation where country's middle class is struggling to pay their taxes and ' wilful defaulters' like Mallya are having a ball at the taxpayers cost. People may forget the promised Rs. 15 lakh to every Indian if culprits are brought to book and black money is recovered from them. Modi Govt also has to curb corruption in the lower echelons of bureaucracy. This may not be possible without active support from the state Govts but BJP-ruled states can be tasked to make their own states corruption-free in the next 2 years. Corruption in India ranking a high 76 among 168 most corrupt nations will always be relevant for winning or losing elections.        


Diplomacy: Modi has made official visits to 36 countries since becoming Prime Minister and developed personal rapport with many of world's top leaders, pursued vigorously India's economic and strategic interests and raised India's global profile. His unconventional approach to diplomacy has been, more or less, effective. Foreign ministry continues to be one of the top ministries in terms of performance. After his successful visit to UAE in Aug, 2015 his recent visits to Saudi Arabia (April) and Iran (May) were both symbolic and substantive. The trilateral agreement with Afghanistan and Iran on Chabahar port is the real takeaway, as it provides a gateway into Afghanistan which will enable us to contribute to its economic development and deepen our energy relationship with Central Asia, besides outflanking China-Pakistan Gwadar project. Despite Modi Govt's best efforts our relations with both China and Pakistan remain tense and complicated. China have an invaluable asset in Pakistan and they continue to needle us on cantankerous issues like its ambitious US $46 billion economic corridor through POK, Azhar Masood UN ban or NSG. China hopes to replace USA as No. 1 power in future and keeps us bogged down with problematic Pakistan. Our difficulties with China can be opportunities for both India and US and Modi's forthcoming visit to the US assumes significance in this backdrop. Perhaps, time is ripe to come a little closer to US and take our relationship to a new high in matters relating to technology-access, nuclear, defence and security. In 2008 Georg Bush (Jr) got us unique 'waiver' in 45-member NSG in the face of stiff opposition from China. Eight years later let us see if Obama can go all out like Bush and get us NSG's membership.


Challenges: There are several areas where this Govt is facing serious challenges, primarily low rate of job creation, high prices of essential food items like pulses, fruits and vegetables affecting a majority of population. It must find a legal way to eliminate the middlemen to benefit both the farmers and consumers. Hoarders and Black marketeers are as pernicious as any other hardcore criminal and deserve no mercy. Groundwater level in India has been going down steadily and water shortage has assumed alarming proportions and its conservation needs to be tackled on a war-footing. There is great hope that Modi Govt would find a sustainable solution to this crisis just as it's trying to clean Ganga and other rivers.

Narendra Modi is an energetic leader with a grand vision and rare ability to turn this vision into realty. He is a human dynamo and working 16 hours a day without a holiday in 2 years. More importantly, he is a good listener and even a better communicator and must be getting crucial feedback from millions of Indians through innovative 'Mann Ki Baat' and ' mygovt.in'. As for his team, some Ministers have done better than expected, many have done reasonably good while others have been pedestrian doing precious little and need to be eased out. 2 years is a long period to assess the performance and time for reshuffle is now.

Finally, in the backdrop of 7.5% growth of GDP, all-time high foreign exchange reserves of US$ 360 billion, over 11% increase in power generation, a bumper Monsoon and GST can be real mood changers.

Read: 
One Year In Hot Pursuit Of Acche Din

8 comments:

  1. “Sabka saath, sabka vikas,” or “Together with all, progress for all.” That message, along with other hopeful slogans promising the return of the “good days” for India, catapulted Modi from the chief minister’s chair in Gujarat to the Indian Prime Minister’s office. CLEARLY, progress has been made with the occasional made-to-measure Modi appearances. Hoping and wishing the current momentum rises higher. As usual always a treat to read and discover the hidden nuggets of wisdom only a Pro would notice.

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  2. An articulated and comprehensive assessment. His achievements on paper are well summed and his weaknesses/challenges rightly identified. No doubt that he appears to be a dynamic leader even if he is termed by many as good in marketing (branding/rebranding UPA programmes), hollow promises and giving false hope. He may not succeed in delivering on all fronts but at least he is succeeding in giving us Hope. All previous PMs did work 16 hours and reasonably well on debut or during their first term and then things took down turn (UPA-I to UPA-II for instance), so we need to wait (have no other choice) and watch the results in time to come. Being optimistic, I hope Modi comes out differently (if he is allowed to by his own paramours - RSS and all Hindutava Champions) for the sake of nation and our hopes.

    On his foreign visits and FDI etc, all I can say is we will have to wait and see the colour of foreign money as there is a big gap between Cup and a Lip (having seen this in UN world i.e. money pledged rarely dispersed). He was lucky on several fronts viz: oil prices that kept inflation under check on paper (commodity prices did not change though and common man continues to pay more and more viz pulses etc). His foreign policy on Nepal and Pakistan turned out to be disastrous (he has successfully managed to deliver our long time brother to China much to the security risk to India and militancy in Kashmir under coalition dharma has reached a level where Kashmir will soon be delivered on platter to Pakistan). He seem to be dancing to the tune of untrustworthy Big Sam (who has a record of ditching all their past allies - Sadam, Ghadfi, Assad and now Sharif).

    World leaders are giving him attention since their own economies are in shambles and they see some hope and avenue in India. As soon as they recover or India flutter, there will be other songs played out.

    Rs. 37,616 crores deposit under 21.81 crores in new bank accounts, there is already a talk of half or more being Benami by black market money hoarders and a quarter having zero balance. More than half of toilets constructed are being used for storing grain by poor villagers since that is the only good structure they have in their village/home. All the bills that he passed were already in the pipeline but stuck because of their own logjam of parliament during UPA-II. OROP was also in the pipeline, yet it is not meeting the satisfaction/approval of our much revered retired defence personnel while subsidised food and salary/perks of parliamentarians are being increased multifold on drop of a pin. Corruption is certainly a monster, but NDA ruled states (I am witness to it in Maharashtra) are equally corrupt as other states and what about Vyapam, Lalit Modi, safe passage for Mallaya etc? Aaadhar was protested tooth and nail by NDA while UPA did commence the direct transfer benefits linked to same Aadhar before they bowed out . Figures from Gujarat, Modiji's past empire (the Gujarat Model) are bringing shocking results as compared to other states. Farmers are still committing suicide though there is certainly the lone good move of Crop Insurance initiated by his government (a very welcome and much needed move).

    List is endless and there is an argument for every promoted/listed success and NDA propaganda (Modi being master on it) , but let him enjoy while the Sun is shining. We as citizens can only hope for the best.

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    1. He's facing an enormous task. In one year we will have a better picture of what may happen by 2019.Till than let us go with hope.

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  3. You have summed up the two year report very well. The achievements can translate into votes only if it is drilled into the minds of the beneficiaries using various techniques. The rural poor and other voting classes can turn into a long term vote bank if they remember the benefits. He needs to remain at the helm for another term with a competent team of Ministers and bureaucrats, if he has to succeed in his mission of transforming India. At this stage we can only wish him all the best and support his initiatives.

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  4. You have summed up the two year performance report very well. No doubt the Govt. has achieved a lot. However if this has to turn into a vote catcher, the Govt. has to drill into the minds of the beneficiaries, about the benefits accrued to them, so that PM Modi gets another term. He has enormous amount of work to do and at the present time, he is the best PM material we have

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    1. Transforming a huge country of India with nearly 128 crore people of diverse background is a herculean task.We need to support all his good initiatives aimed at development.

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  6. Great job in 2 years good initiatives done by Modi government.

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